How Trump Won. Part 1: Patterns, Persuasion and the Path to Presidency. 

I used to never care about Donald Trump.

I never watched the Apprentice.

When Trump began the game, coming down the escalator, I was in China. I thought, like most people, it some kind of joke and I never paid any attention.

I do, however, pay attention to many things.

One of the things I pay attention to is Islamic terrorism.

For the last fifteen years, I have paid attention to Islam and studied it most assiduously. For ten years, I have collected nearly every terrorist attack that has occurred — across the entire globe.

Muslims have carried out attacks on every civilisation (including their own), on every continent (except Antartica and South America); sticking only with the letter “B” we have: Beijing; Bangkok; Bali; Bombay; Baghdad; Beersheba; Beirut; Benghazi; Berlin; Brussels; Boston; San Bernardino and in France we saw a gruesome attack (including the use of sexual torture) in the Bataclan theatre and children being mowed down on Bastille day in Nice.

Every time Muslims execute a Jihad operation, I keep a record.

Now, I’m not just a database administrator. To me, data is illustration of general principles. I like to get the principles of a subject laid out in nice and neat little rows. The principles are like a foundation of a house, the facts are the bricks, and the logic (if A then B) are the mortar that holds the bricks together.

We are building knowledge and understanding, and every bit matters.

To object of the enterprise is understanding. To understand, as the philosopher, Wilfred Sellars said ” how things, in the broadest possible sense, fit together in the broadest possible sense.”

To understand Islam, and the ideological motivation of jihadists, the task reduces to reading A: key texts like the Koran, the biography of Muhammad and the Hadiths. Theological and philosophical works by people like Sayid Qutub, Ayatollah Khomeini, Yusuf al Qaradawi and Ayman al Zawahiri. B: Islamic history (which is Jihad.); understanding B (practice) in light of A (theory which is Jihad).

If you want to easy option start with the following:

http://bit.ly/2kfVCPC

Now, on the basis of this understanding (theory and practice) I construct various possibilities: projections, predictions and plans when I add in the rest of my background knowledge about the world and everything in it.

One of my predictions (if current trends continue X is likely or will happen) was Islam becoming a dividing point in politics.

A dividing point in a democracy is when subject X requires an either or position — no middle ground. Either you are for something or against something.

So, my prediction was that at some time T1 a political entrepreneur would take a stand on this subject and say something like “no more Muslims.”

Now, back in December, just after San Bernardino attack went into the “book”, Donald Trump sent up a rocket.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2015_San_Bernardino_attack

The signal.

My prediction coming home.

http://fortune.com/2016/06/28/donald-trump-muslim-ban/
http://www.wsj.com/articles/how-liberals-killed-the-freedom-of-movement-1485464612

So, I watched Trump’s speech, and I saw it. I saw that Trump had the “magic.”

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=NzOslZ5mP2g

I know a bit about rhetoric, persuasion and how to make a speech. And Trump is good.

Very good.

In fact, you could say that Trump is simply “tremendous” at persuading. Scott Adams, who I discovered by researching Trump, thinks that Trump is the best persuader he has seen in his life (Steve Jobs being second).

(See Scott’s master list for the “Master Persuader.”)

Given everything that has happened, it is hard to disagree with that judgement.

So, how did Trump win? Was it a fluke? Was it an accident? Is Trump simply a clown?

Or is there a method to the seeming madness?

Here, we will look at Trump’s “Game” and then look at the background conditions that led to the Triumph of Trump.

The Triumph of Trump represents a complete break with the governing assumptions of American governance since 1945.

His success indicates that America is now a deeply dysfunctional, divided country.

See:

https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2016-06-13/american-political-decay-or-renewal

http://www.worldaffairsjournal.org/article/democracy-and-democracies-crisis

https://www.dissentmagazine.org/online_articles/progressive-neoliberalism-reactionary-populism-nancy-fraser

https://geopoliticalfutures.com/president-elect-donald-trump/

http://www.the-american-interest.com/2016/11/21/donald-trumps-new-world-order/

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4 thoughts on “How Trump Won. Part 1: Patterns, Persuasion and the Path to Presidency. 

  1. > Muslims have carried out attacks on every civilisation (including their own), on every continent (except Antartica and South America); sticking only with the letter “B” we have: Beijing; Bangkok; Bali; Bombay; Baghdad; Beersheba; Beirut; Benghazi; Berlin; Brussels; Boston; San Bernardino and in France we saw a gruesome attack (including the use of sexual torture) in the Bataclan theatre and children being mowed down on Bastille day in Nice.

    Doesn’t fit your time period, but mujahidin have been active in South America, and notably in a “B” city to boot: Iran attacked the Israeli embassy in Buenos Aires in 1992 (wik) and the Jewish community center there in 1994 (wik).

    Like

  2. Pingback: How Trump Won Part 11:Sam Altman is Still Not A Blithering Idiot. | "The Horror! The Horror!"

  3. Pingback: How Trump Won Part 12: Political Re-Education for Progressives. | "The Horror! The Horror!"

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